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The Gold Sheet

The Gold Sheet

(271) Indianapolis Colts at (272) Green Bay Packers

Event:
(271) Indianapolis Colts at (272) Green Bay Packers
Sport/League:
NFL
Date/Time:
September 15, 2024 1PM EDT
Play Rating:
1.5%
Odds:
170
Play:
1.5% – Indianapolis Colts -6.5 (+170)
Result:
Loss
Analysis

In our opinion, the likelihood that an Indianapolis -2.5 point spread comes into play in this contest is slim. With Malik Willis at the helm in Green Bay, this is going to be a high-variance contest and we'd rather take a big swing at some plus-money alt spreads instead of laying -115 or -120 on the current line. Willis has been a member of the Packers for less than a month after getting traded from Tennessee for a seventh round draft pick in August. He joined the team ten days before getting thrown into the fourth quarter of the Packers' Week 1 loss to Philadelphia. Willis has not been a starter since his rookie season in 2022, where he went 25-of-49 for 234 passing yards with no touchdowns and three interceptions in three games. He did not reach the 100-yard passing mark in any of those games. If this goes south for Willis, we want to capitalize on a couple big numbers and not the traditional -2.5 point spread. At the time of posting, Indianapolis -6.5 is available at +169 at DraftKings and +176 at FanDuel. 

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