Dwayne Bryant
(907) New York Mets at (908) San Diego Padres
4:10 PM ET -- MLB
907 New York Mets
908 San Diego Padres
Play: 907 NY METS +105
List Pitchers: ACTION
Bet Size: 3%
Line Parameters:
3% play at even money or better
2% play at -101 to -110
My MLB plays are determined by statistical data (standard and advanced metrics from fangraphs.com), history involving similar games and situations (researched through the SDQL database), and current market data. A play is made when enough of these factors align. The play's size is determined by how many of these factors align, how much value is perceived, and how confident I am about the play.
KEY SITUATIONAL ANGLE(S):
Play ON teams with a line between -125 and +125 if their starter allowed at least 7 runs in his previous start and their opponent's starter issued fewer than 2 walks in each of his last two starts. 44-25 (64%) since 2019.