Ronald Cabang
(629) Atlanta Dream at (630) Indiana Fever
The Fever have been a solid "over" team this season, thanks to their fast pace and poor defense. Additionally, their offense has seen noticeable improvement since the start of the season, contributing to higher-scoring games.
From a trends perspective, the Fever are 23-12 to the over this season, including an impressive 12-2 to the over as favorites and a perfect 7-0 as home favorites—the exact situation they find themselves in today.
While the Dream haven’t consistently been an "over" team this season, they are coming off an overtime win where they scored 107 points. This could give them some offensive momentum heading into this matchup. However, their defense is likely to struggle against the Fever, who should be able to dictate the pace of play.
Given these factors, I expect the Fever to control the tempo, cover the spread, and push this game over the high total.