Scott Rickenbach
(216505) Belarus at (216506) Luxembourg
1.5% Rotation #216505: UEFA Nations League: Sunday 1.5% OVER 1.5 -185 in Luxembourg vs Belarus @ 9 AM ET - Luxembourg has had 5 straight matches total at least 2 goals. This includes some friendly action as does the fact that their last 2 home matches were wins by counts of 2-1 and 4-1. This Luxembourg club concedes too often and gave many chances to Northern Ireland inside the box in their most recent match. However, they do tend to score better at home and Belarus is also coming off a match that, though a scoreless draw, saw them concede far too many chances inside the box as well. in true road matches - not neutral site - and in competitive (non-friendly) matches, Belarus has scored 4 goals in their last 2 away from home. They are a dog here in this match but not a big dog and the fact that neither club can be trusted defensively in front of their own goal has me envisioning high-quality chances for each side in this one. Before the scoreless draw in which Belarus truly was fortunate not to concede, they had allowed 10 goals in their last 4 matches across all competitions including friendly action. They are simply not fundamentally sound defensively but neither is Luxembourg! Even if a club gets a 1-goal lead it will push hard for a second one knowing that defensive play is not their forte. So asking for a minimum of a 1-1 or 2-0 type match is certainly not asking too much. It is worth the price here. By playing this over at 1.5 goals we are testing that 5-0 streak involving Luxembourg matches totaling 2 or more goals and I am forecasting at least 2 goals in this one. I will keep this rating low due to the price but I want to make 2 a win number just like we did in yesterday's match between North Macedonia and Faroe Islands. 1.5% OVER 1.5 -185 in Luxembourg