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Andy Lang

Andy Lang

(269) Tampa Bay Buccaneers at (270) Detroit Lions: Baker Mayfield Passing Touchdowns O/U

Event:
(269) Tampa Bay Buccaneers at (270) Detroit Lions: Baker Mayfield Passing Touchdowns O/U
Sport/League:
NFL
Date/Time:
September 15, 2024 1PM EDT
Play Rating:
2%
Odds:
-140
Play:
2% – Baker Mayfield Passing Touchdowns O/U Over 1.5 (-140)
Result:
Loss
Analysis

This was an easy cash last week against Washington, who might have the worse secondary in the league, and while Detroit is better than Washington, they aren’t a dominating secondary.  Stafford had a backup offensive line last week, lost Nacua halfway through the game, and still threw for 300+ yards and 1 TD.  He might have had 2 TD’s, but there was a pass interference in the endzone that gave them the ball at the 1 yard line and Kyren Williams ran it in.

Mayfield has a healthy offensive line, and a healthy crop of pass catches in Evans, Godwin, and White, and the passing game looked great last week, which is a continuation of last seaason.  With his new team, Baker only went over 1.5 TD’s in 2 out of the first 6 games, but finished the season by going over in 8 out of 11 regular season games, and both playoff games.  It’s strange, but 2 of those 3 games to end the season that he didn’t go over were against Carolina where I don’t think they needed to do much to win so they weren’t throwing much.  The other nice thing going for this play is that Tampa’s secondary is now pretty banged up so this game could absolutely turn into a shootout with both quarterbacks putting up big numbers.  Going back to the last 14 games for Baker, this play is 11-3 so I’ll keep rolling with Baker Baker Money Maker.

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