California is coming off a 21-14 upset win at Auburn in a game they closed a sizable 12.0-point underdog. Now they come home as a double-digit favorite to take on a San Diego State team that was banked at home last Saturday 21-0 by Oregon State. This looks like a classic letdown spot for the Golden Bears, right? As Lee Corso would say, not so fast my friends. We were in a similar situation in Week 1 with Georgia Tech as a 21.5-point home favorite versus Georgia State and on the heels of upsetting Florida State as a 15.5-point underdog the week before. Well, that turned out just find for us and this pick will as well.

Any College Football home favorite of between 17.0 to 29.0 that is coming off an away underdog of 10.0 or more upset win by 10 points or fewer, resulted those sizable home favorites going 25-4 ATS (86.2%) since 2000. 

Give me California minus points.