This is a pretty standard short handicap. The Bottom line is the Pats put up less than 14 points a game last year, which is historically horrible, and really have done nothing to fix their offense this year. Last week, they played the Bengals and we bet Under 16.5 TT for them and won by half a point. Now we have an extra point to spare and I still think the Pats don’t get near 17 points. The bottom line is this Pats team will be the most conservative offense in football by far. I expect them to use all 3 downs to get 1st downs, to run the ball way more than they pass the ball, to pass the ball short when they do and to eat clock all game long. I also love the Pats D and think they might have the best secondary in football. Like their offense that will eat clock, their D is going to force teams to eat clock as well. I don’t expect Seattle to have many big plays downfield and after what Walker did in the 2nd half against Denver, I think we see them really rely on the run. At 17.5 I absolutely love this bet, but if you can get 16.5 at + money, I have no issue with that either. 

We are going to be looking to make this bet on a regular basis, until the Pats tell us and show us otherwise.