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(179) South Florida at (180) Southern Miss   (Game Analysis Below)

Play Rating: 4%

Play Type: Full Game Side

Play: South Florida -11.5 (-110)

Date/Time: Sep 14, 2024 7:00 PM / Line Provider: Consensus

4% South Florida @ Southern Mississippi

View South Florida in year #2 of the HC Alex Golesh regime as a team that is now capable of assuming “bully” status. Huge step down in schedule class here after going toe-toe for basically 3 ½ quarters with Alabama in Tuscaloosa last Saturday. USF upgrade in talent defensively probably most significant takeaway from that contest as final score is indicative of no more than finally being worn down by an elite team. No such worry in this spot as Southern Mississippi continues to be underwhelming since the start of last season going 4-9 ats. QB play an obvious issue last season turned to Florida State transfer Tate Rodemaker who in his first test vs. an FBS team directed this offense to 7 first downs / 131 total yards and 0 points at Kentucky. The 31 points allowed by the USM defense now seems poor after watching Kentucky’s offense look thoroughly inept at home last week against South Carolina. South Florida can play quality defense vs. higher ups as evidenced last week and they can light up the scoreboard offensively as well especially in match ups like this one. South Florida pace of play (#4 fastest in the nation at 20.1 seconds per snap) has the capability to wear out defensively thin Golden Eagles. Bulls are a run oriented spread which likely can feast on Southern Miss run defense which allowed UK to gain 6.2 per carry. South Florida ability to play action and with speedy, game breaking personnel on the perimeter adds a dimension of balance Kentucky doesn’t possess. Golesh stays on the gas pedal throughout and he’s got the horses to go out and get this one by 14+.                  

Play: South Florida -11.5 (-110)