Ross Benjamin
(273) Cleveland Browns at (274) Jacksonville Jaguars
Jacksonville blew a 14-point lead in their season opener at Miami and ultimately lost 20-17 on a walk off field goal with no time left on the clock. It was a disheartening loss to say the least. Dating back to last year, the Jaguars have gone a dismal 1-6 SU in their last 7 games under current head coach Doug Pederson. Their only win in the sequence came over a Carolina team that finished last season with an abysmal 2-15 record.
Cleveland is coming off a disappointing 33-17 home loss to Dallas last Sunday. However, when looking inside the numbers Cleveland held the high-powered Dallas offense to just 265 yards. Dallas scored 1 touchdown on a punt return and has 4 made field goals of 40 or more yards. Deshaun Watson was sacked 6 times by arguably what will be one of the top defenses in the NFL this coming year. The Browns will be facing a Jaguars defense that allowed 400 yards in their loss at Miami last week.
Any NFL Game 2 underdog of 10.0 or less that's coming off a home loss by 10-points or more has gone 23-1 ATS since 2014. Those underdogs also went 16-8 SU in those contests and 6 of those 8 SU losses came by 3 points or fewer.
Give me the Cleveland Browns plus points.