I think SSG is being made the favorite here for no reason other than they need this game more.   I don’t think Samsung rests anyone off a loss with an off day tomorrow.   Won is better than Elias and Samsung has the better lineup. 

To expound upon this I think SSG is the favorite here because they desperately NEED to win.  As we all know NEED doesn't equal WILL and I'm willing to take the discount with a better Samsung team who should be at full strength here coming off yesterday's loss.

Samsung is sort of locked into the #2 spot at this point, they aren't going to catch Kia for 1st and have a 5.5 game lead on LG so it's unlikely they will lose the #2 seed with just nine games to play.  What that means is Samsung has the luxury of spreading the innings around over the final week and a half but I expect the Lions to roll out their “A” team knowing they have an off day tomorrow.  

Samsung's full strength lineup with Tae-In Won should be favored over SSG.  Import starter Roenis Elias can be hit or miss, he's got worse numbers than Won and Samsung has arguably the best bullpen in the league so the Lions SHOULD be favored here.  

I think the “spot” is over-baked into the number.  Samsung is the better team with the better starter and I expect the Lions to care after losing yesterday and should be in better position to win here.

Play on Samsung Lions -105 for 4% (or 4 units)