England Premier League

(200157) Newcastle United at (200158) Wolverhampton Wanderers

Wolves haven't won yet, but opening the season at Arsenal is obviously a tough ask.  They then lost 2-6 at home to Chelsea despite creating more xG at 1.9 to 1.6 before grabbing at 1-1 draw at Nottingham.  They haven't played nearly as poor as their record might suggest.

Meanwhile Newcastle held of Southampton in their opener despite playing with ten men but struggled in their only away match  at Bournemouth.  They managed a 1-1 draw, but allowed 2.2 xG to Forest.  Newcastle did then earn a solid win at home over Tottenham in their third match.  But again, much different performance on the road for Newcastle.

Bottom line is I don't think Wolves should be home dogs here.  Perhaps a pick'em (Draw No Bet) price, but getting a head start I believe is an oddsmaker error.

TAKE WOLVES +0.5 (Double Chance)

Line Parameter: 4% to +0.25, pay up to -130 to get +0.5