8:15 PM ET -- NFL

291 Atlanta Falcons 
292 Philadelphia Eagles

Play UNDER 46 (-110)

Bet Size: 4%

Line Parameters:
4% play at 45 or better 
3% play at 44 or 44.5
2% play at 43 or 43.5

A week ago, Atlanta QB Kirk Cousins played his first game since tearing an Achilles last season and it didn't go well at all.  And that was at home.  Now the immobile Cousins and that Falcons offense goes on the road in a hostile environment.  I'm not expecting much offensively from Atlanta.

The Eagles' defense gave up 29 points to the Packers in Brazil last week, but they didn't play terribly.  They held the Pack to 1-for-4 in the red zone and 3-for-11 on third-down conversions.  The Eagles should have little trouble limiting the Cousins-led Falcons offense.

The Eagles offense is going to make plays and score points, but not having WR AJ Brown is going to hurt.  The Eagles laying less than a TD here just looks too easy to me and I never make a bet that looks too good to be true.  

I love betting unders in these stand-alone nationally televised NFL games (TNF, SNF, MNF), especially the MNF games.  The average bettor that's down for the weekend sees this as a last chance to "get it back" and they love to bet favorites and overs.  This line has been creeping down and I agree with the move.  I'm expecting 42 total points in this one.