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(291) Atlanta Falcons at (292) Philadelphia Eagles   (Game Analysis Below)

Play Rating: 2%

Play Type: 1H Total

Play: 1H Total Over 22.5 (-115)

Date/Time: Sep 16, 2024 8:20 PM / Line Provider: Consensus

Atlanta at Philadelphia

Falcons defensive game plan priority more than likely stack box and contain RB Saquan Barkley especially with Philadelphia #1 WR A.J. Brown out tonight

Eagles even without Brown far different breed of offense than what Atlanta saw last week against limited Steelers team that ran 62.1% of the time

New Philadelphia OC Kellen Moore no stranger to operating high scoring offense with one stud WR, top notch TE and pass catching threat at RB

Plenty of assets to work with here in probable play action based plan that also has threat of QB Jalen Hurts mobility

Smith, Dotson, Goedart, Barkley receiving, Barkley & Hurts run game and elite OL still present enough threats and balance to rack up yards + points

Atlanta in 1st season of 3-4 defensive system of new DC Jimmy Lake

Both DC’s in this game are entrenched in philosophies of all out aggressiveness

Top level pressure units are required for these systems to work at full potential 

Last week  Philadelphia allowed 7 plays of 20+ yards which included 4 pass plays for 158 yards & 1 WR run for a 33 yd TD

Evidence shows that this style leaves the Eagles highly vulnerable at times and Falcons have weaponry to take advantage

Philly pass rush not what it was a couple years back and if they don’t get home they can be burnt

Over-pursuit cost them in Green Bay game on the 33 yd WR TD run

Philadelphia just as capable of torching Falcons aggressive style which has talent similar to Green Bay’s defense which allowed 410 total yards

Visual here from a defense scheme standpoint seems somewhat “square peg in round hole” while these teams are in learning curve

Matchup appears favorable for the offenses…Atlanta doesn’t figure to see near the amount of pressure they saw form Pittsburgh’s defense last week

Philadelphia offense can cause problems for and has the array of options to dissect any defense especially one in a new system

Absence of WR A.J. Brown is not ideal but assets still on hand and plenty of prep time (11 day span since GB game) indicate Eagles have necessary firepower

Consider that to be a low percentage scenario since each side figures to have offensive success / Weather projected to be very cooperative 70 degrees with little to no wind

Philadelphia 18 Home Games since 2022 where they played their starters = 1H Results are 15-3 Over 22.5 points

Play: Atlanta-Philadelphia 1H Over 22.5