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Scott Rickenbach

Scott Rickenbach

(957) Philadelphia Phillies at (958) Milwaukee Brewers

Event:
(957) Philadelphia Phillies at (958) Milwaukee Brewers
Sport/League:
MLB
Date/Time:
September 17, 2024 7PM EDT
Play Rating:
3%
Odds:
-133
Play:
3% – Philadelphia Phillies -133 Action
Result:
Win
Analysis

3% Rotation #957: MLB Tuesday 3% Philadelphia Phillies -133 @ Milwaukee Brewers @ 7:40 ET - The Phillies outhit the Brewers yesterday but lost 6-2. The Phillies are a perfect 5-0 L5 times when entering a game off a loss in which they were held to 4 runs scored or less. Philadelphia is a perfect 4-0 in Zack Wheeler's last 4 starts. We get line value here because Wheeler and the Phillies are on the road and they are facing Frankie Montas. I know Montas has been better since coming to Milwaukee from Cincinnati. However, prior to a fantastic start at San Francisco in his last outing, he allowed 11 earned runs in 18 innings over his 3 prior starts for a 5.50 ERA. Also, he has a 1.66 WHIP versus lefties compared to a 1.05 WHIP versus righties this season. Note that the Phillies are loaded with left-handed batters and it is likely that at least 5 left-handed sticks will be in the lineup again tonight. As for the right-handed bats they have they are dangerous hitters like Turner, Realmuto, Castellanos and Bohm. The point is that this will be a very tough match-up for Montas. Considering Wheeler's success, including Phillies wins in each of his last 4 starts plus the other 5-0 angle noted above, this is literally the perfect spot to back the road team at a great price with their ace on the mound. Lay it! 3% PHILADELPHIA -133

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