Cleveland (1-2) is coming off a 21-15 home loss to the then 0-2 New York Giants. The Browns made a huge long-term investment in quarterback Deshaun Watson who has been a huge disappointment since being signed. Between his off field legal issues and mediocre to poor play when available to play, it has left a dark cloud hanging over this proud franchise. Cleveland is currently a 2.0-point road underdog in this matchup. Since 1/8/2023, Cleveland has gone 0-4 SU&ATS on the road when their point-spread was between -2.5 and +2.5. Additionally, they lost those 4 contests by a sizable 16.5 points per game.

The Raiders are coming off mind-boggling 36-22 home favorite SU loss to the then winless Carolina Panthers. This came on the heels of a 26-23 huge upset win over Baltimore as a 9.0-point road underdog the week before that. Here are some positive notes for the Raiders. Since 12/26/2001, they are 8-0 SU&ATS at home when their point-spread is between +2.5 and -2.5 and they won by an average of 8.7 points per contest. Since 2015, Las Vegas has won all 4 of their games against Cleveland.

Any NFL home team with a losing record coming off a home SU loss by 2-points or more, and they are facing an opponent with a win percentage worse than.400, resulted in those home teams going 13-0 SU&ATS since 2021. The average margin of victory came by a decisive margin of 16.9 points per game.

Give me the Las Vegas Raiders as a money line favorite.