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(137) Colorado at (138) Central Florida   (Game Analysis Below)

Play Rating: 4%

Play Type: Full Game Total

Play: Total Over 62.0 (-110)

Date/Time: Sep 28, 2024 3:30 PM 

Line Provider: Consensus

4% Colorado @ Central Florida

As long as numbers in this area continue to be posted in Central Florida games vs. “up tempo” opponents with top level passing attacks and bad run defenses then trips to the window are automatic. Two weeks ago TCU threw all over the UCF secondary (402 py) but there poor run defense allowed 289 ry in 35-34 Knights victory. Central Florida leads the nation in rushing and when the opposition can’t stop it then dual threat QB K.J. Jefferson and the passing game can chip in as evidenced by the 230 they racked up in that TCU game (519 ty). Colorado is more than susceptible to the same type of yardage & point allowance ranking 83rd vs. the run and 72nd vs. the pass. Those numbers become even weaker when you see that they haven’t faced a team that ranks inside the FBS Top 90 in Total Offense. They can however answer back with their prolific QB Shedur Sanders and a passing game that sits #5 in the nation averaging 335 pypg. “Bounce House” tenants are 94th in pass defense which is contributed to by their lack of QB sacks (1 in 105 pa against them). Contest is projected to be played in 91-98 degree heat which likely gasses the Rocky Mountain defense helping add to the scoreboard. Pieces fit together extremely well for a high scoring tilt that figures to climb “over” the current asking price.

Play: Colorado-Central Florida OVER 62