Slovan Bratislava vs Manchester City
Champions League, Tuesday, 3pm ET

Play: Slovan Bratislava +3.25
Odds at Time of Release: -128
Line Parameter: Playable to -135, otherwise take Slovan +3

Reigning champions of Slovakia, also leading their domestic league this season and they won the title in 5 of L/6 years, finishing 1st or 2nd in 14 of L/16 seasons. That not only means that they are a solid team, but it also means that they have European experience with 128 home games in European competitions dating back to the 50s, never lost by 4 goals or more (W69 D30 L29). Plus, they won the Cup Winner's Cup in 1968 beating Barcelona on the final. 

We are essentially buying 5 results, we win this bet if Slovan win, if its a Draw, if Slovan lose by 1 AND if Slovan lose by 2, and we even get a half win if they lose by exactly 3 goals. This bet only loses if Manchester City win by 4 goals or more, something that they've done in just 9% of their away matches in L/2 seasons (3 of 33), and in just 7.4% of their away matches in L/3 seasons (4 of 54). And if Slovan score a goal, then City would need to score five for us to lose this bet. So don't sleep on these middle-European squads, cause the books underestimate them. 

6th game in 17 days for Manchester City, who are missing key midfielders Kevin de Bruyne and Rodri, and even though they have a killer roster, it's not that deep and those key midfielders are kind of irreplaceable. Not saying they will not win, but Slovan surely have what it takes to defend a THREE goal lead.

Take 1% on Slovan Bratislava +3.25 (-128), playable to -135, otherwise take Slovan +3