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Jeff Michaels

Jeff Michaels

(941) New York Mets at (942) Milwaukee Brewers

Event:
(941) New York Mets at (942) Milwaukee Brewers
Sport/League:
MLB
Date/Time:
October 1, 2024 5PM EDT
Play Rating:
2%
Odds:
-138
Play:
2% – Milwaukee Brewers -138 L Severino (RHP), F Peralta (RHP) Must Start
Result:
Loss
Analysis

(941) New York Mets at (942) Milwaukee Brewers

2% Milwaukee Brewers -138 L Severino (RHP), F Peralta (RHP) Must Start
It may seem a “square” play backing Milwaukee with the scheduling spot but the line has value. The Mets played Tue 8/24, had two games postponed, traveled to Milwaukee where they lost 2 of 3 and then played the double header in Atlanta yesterday and flew to Milwaukee again. NY has averaged only 6.6 hits per game since September 20th including averaging 2.8 runs and 6.3 hits per game as a dog. 

Freddy Peralta will likely only go 5 or so innings but he has allowed on 4 runs and 8 hist in his last three starts. Luis Severino has 15 road starts this season and he has a 5.00 ERA and his opponents hit .255 against him. In his last three starts Severino has thrown 16 innings allowing 10 runs and 15 hits.

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