Charlotte vs Chicago
MLS, Wednesday, 7:30pm ET

Play: Charlotte -0.75
Odds at Time of Release: -125
Line Parameter: Playable to -135, otherwise take Charlotte -1

Charlotte are sitting 7th in the playoffs with 42 points and with 3 matches to go, they are not safe and they need to keep racking points. While a Draw might be a decent result, a win here would renew their hopes for a top-4 finish, but also it would almost clinch a playoff spot, so they have the incentive against a discouraged Chicago side that are now sitting dead last in the standings after a very unsuccessful season. 

Charlotte are W7 D5 L3 at home with a +7 goal difference, while Chicago are W2 D5 L9 on the road with a -10 goal difference and lost 6 of L/8 away matches. Charlotte with a +0.12 xG difference/game at home, which is not great but not terrible, and matched against Chicago who have a -0.40 xG difference/game on the road. 

Charlotte beat Chicago by 1-0 on the road earlier in the season and have now won 4 in a row against them. 

Take 3% on Charlotte -0.75 (-125), playable to -135, otherwise take Charlotte -1 (with a chance of a push if they win by exactly 1)