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(303) Texas State at (304) Troy   (Game Analysis Below)

Play Rating: 2%

Play Type: Full Game Team Total

Play: Texas State Total Over 34.5 (-140)

Date/Time: Oct 3, 2024 7:00 PM 

Line Provider: Consensus

2% Texas State @ Troy

Few if any lasting remnants of ex-HC Jon Sumrall’s strong defensive blueprint remain at Troy. Trojans have plummeted to #77 total yardage allowed defense and have to face explosive Texas State group tonight. Near 452 typg averaged by HC G.J. Kinne’s high octane offense compares favorably to that of Memphis which scored 38 vs Troy in Week #2. Combined 66 points / 855 ty & 6.9 ypp allowed by Troy to offensive lightweights Nevada and Iowa is disturbing. TSU offensive balance paired with Troy’s equally vulnerable run & pass defenses suggest they’re in for another 400+ yard 35+ point effort. Trojans lack of offense and potential absence of #1 QB Goose Crowder could give Texas St. even more time and opportunities with the football. Entering off of blown 22-0 1Q lead last week (lost 40-39 vs Sam Houston State) only enforces focus & motivation here. Non trustworthy defense keeps double digit favorite play off the table but banking on Bobcats to do what they excel at is worth a trip to the window.     

Play: Texas State Team Total OVER 34.5