Play: Under 2 Goals
Odds at Time of Release: -120
Line Parameter: Playable to -130

Fluminense have lost a lot of matches by conceding late goals and they will now be extra careful against Cruzeiro, who are coached by their former coach, who also play very defensively. This is a type of game where whoever scores first is probably going to win, not one of the flashy Brazilian match-ups with a lot of goals in H2H either. Logically speaking, and this is backed by stats too, this should have very few goals, maximum of 2. 

Fluminense with the lowest total in the league (1.9 goals/match) and Cruzeiro with the 3rd lowest (2.3). Only 2 of Fluminense's L/21 league matches had 3 goals or more, with 12 of 21 going to the Under 1.5. Only 1 of Cruzeiro's L/8 matches had 3 goals or more, and they are kind of struggling to absorb the new coache's (weird) tactics. 

Take 2% on the Under 2 Goals (-120), playable to -130