Crystal Palace vs Liverpool
EPL, Saturday, 7:30am ET

Play: Under 3 Goals
Odds at Time of Release: -121
Line Parameter: Playable to -130

Early kickoff in the EPL is always tricky and we've seen some really weird results, with none of t he 7 previous early kickoffs this season producing 4 goals or more. With the Asian Total set at 3 in this match, we definitely like the Under 3 at -121. 
Add to that the fact that Liverpool were playing mid-week in the Champions League and there's bound to be some fatigue. Only 2 of Liverpool's 9 matches in all competitions this season had 4 goals or more, the 3-1 against AC Milan in the Champions League and the 5-1 against West Ham in the EFL Cup. NONE of their 6 EPL matches so far had 4 goals or more. 

Just 2 of Crystal Palace's 8 matches in the season had 4 goals or more, a 4-0 against Norwich in the EFL Cup, and a 2-2 against Leicester, where the equalizing goal came at the stoppage time. That means that just 1 of Palace's 7 EPL matches so far had 4 goals or more. Which brings me to the H2H. 

Last season the two H2H matches had 1 and 3 goals respectively, the season before that there were 0 and 2 goals respectively. Just 1 of L/7 H2H matches had 4 goals or more, and considering all the aforementioned facts, we definitely like the Under 3 Goals here. 

Take 2% on the Under 3 Goals (-121), playable to -130