Teddy Covers
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Featured Pick
NFL Sunday All Access Pass
Go for the 3-0 Sweep with Teddy’s NFL All Access Pass on Sunday! You’ll get his complete Sunday Report all included in this package. Teddy enters the weekend 28-9 (76%) in NFL Week 1 action over the past ten years, truly a PROVEN profit producer in early season play! Get onboard & cash in!
Hot Streaks
NFL Week 1: 28-9 (76%) L10 Years! 8-2 (80%) Week 1 5% Big Tickets
NFL Season Wins: 100-50-3 (67%) L23 Years, 16-4 (80%) 5% Big Tickets
All Sports Long Term: 303-245 (55.2%) +95.3 Units Since Nov, 2023
All 5% Plays All Sports: 79-51 (61%) Since 2021 +108.4 Units
Last updated Sep 6, 12:35 AM EDT
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All Plays
NFL Sunday All Access Pass
Go for the 3-0 Sweep with Teddy’s NFL All Access Pass on Sunday! You’ll get his complete Sunday Report all included in this package. Teddy enters the weekend 28-9 (76%) in NFL Week 1 action over the past ten years, truly a PROVEN profit producer in early season play! Get onboard & cash in!
West Coast Wipeout Best Bet Winner!
Whether you’ve enjoyed a great betting Saturday or ‘not so much’, there’s always room for one last cash before the night is through! Teddy’s got you covered with his West Coast Wipeout Winner; backing a powerful and motivated favorite in a legitimate B-L-O-W-O-U-T spot! Close out your night with Teddy’s 4% Best Bet!
Fade the False Favorite! 28-8 Week 1!
Teddy’s got you covered with his ‘Fade the False Favorite’ winner on the opening Sunday of NFL action! The results do not lie. Teddy is 28-8 (78%) in Week 1 NFL action over the last nine years; a PROVEN profit producer who works all summer so you don’t have to! Take advantage! Get onboard & cash in!
5% Big Ticket NFL Season Wins Release
Teddy nailed his only 5% Big Ticket NFL Season Wins release last year, cashing with the Green Bay Packers OVER 7.5 wins as they cruised to the playoffs. This isn’t new or different! Teddy is 16-4 (80%) with his 5% Big Ticket NFL Season Win releases since he started his annual report in 2001 -- he’s got a long-term PROVEN track record of success, and his write-ups are second to none, primed to help you make $$ all year. Get his TOP RATED NFL Season Wins selection across the entire NFL today for ONLY $49!
*This 5% future is included in Teddy's NFL Season Win Report
**NFL Season Win Report is included in his NFL Season Pass
76% Week 1 L10 Years! Serious Shocker
Teddy enters the weekend with a truly impressive 28-9 (76%) Week 1 track record in the NFL over the past decade; a PROVEN profit producer in early season play. Get onboard with Teddy’s Serious Sunday Shocker and cash in early start action on Sunday; backing a live underdog with ‘outright upset potential! Don’t miss out!
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WagerTalk Specials
3-Day All Sports Pass Only $49!
Get your 3-Day All-Access Pass for just $49! With this pass, you’ll receive every NFL, CFB, MLB, soccer, and UFC play your betting expert releases, along with any additional selections. Choose as many handicappers as you like and enjoy the freedom to pick your start date. Don't miss out on the chance to access top-tier picks and expert insights. Whether you're a seasoned bettor or just getting started, this deal is too good to pass up. But hurry—this is a limited-time offer!
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Free Picks
THE PLAY: Atlanta Falcons -3.0 (-110)
Take Atlanta (#458)
The Falcons were underachievers from start to finish last year; plagued by poor quarterback play and an inability to win tight games; just 1-5 SU down the stretch in games decided by less than a TD. With new head coach Raheem Morris and new starting QB Kirk Cousins, there’s ample reason to think that Atlanta is primed to take a big step forward in 2024 following three consecutive 7-10 campaigns; starting right here in their opener. Pittsburgh got blown out on opening day last year and they’re not likely to have it easy this year either. Russell Wilson has looked washed up in Seattle and Denver over the past two years; I’m not convinced a third stop is going to revitalize his career, especially considering Pittsburgh’s continuing offensive line woes. Expect the home team to take care of business on opening day. Take the Falcons.
THE PLAY: Dallas Cowboys UNDER 10 Wins (-110 widely available)
3% Dallas Cowboys UNDER 10 Wins (-110 widely available)
I bet it this way: 2.5% on Cowboys UNDER 10 Wins, 0.5% on Cowboys to Make the Playoffs: No’ (+200)
3% Take the Dallas Cowboys UNDER
Every sharp dollar that’s shown for Dallas since these season win totals opened has come for the Under. Let’s join them before this win total gets bet down any further!
The Cowboys have been kicking the can down the road for years when it comes to salary cap issues. This past offseason, the woes became very real. Dallas lost five starters in free agency but acquired only one -- 32 year old LB Eric Kendricks, now playing for his third team in three years.
Dallas has nowhere to do but down. They’ve won 36 games over the past three seasons - only the Chiefs have more victories. Despite all of that success, head coach Mike McCarthy (not one of my favorite game managers, to put it mildly) has not been re-signed, in the final year of his contract. QB Dak Prescott, too, has an expiring contract (and a massive $55 million cap hit this year). Prescott led the league in TD passes last year and finished #2 in MVP voting - he can’t play any better. In fact, he’s likely to play worse with an OL that lost another two starters this offseason, quite possibly starting a pair of rookies in September.
Cowboys star WR Cee Dee Lamb skipped mini-camps this spring and he’s talking about sitting out training camp this summer; trying to negotiate a new contract. I don’t worry about running backs, but it’s worth noting that Dallas might have the weakest group of RB’s in the NFL this year. The highest scoring offense in the league in 2023 is primed to take a step back in 2024, especially with all kinds of rumors flying around Vegas regarding Prescott’s health. Behind Prescott? Cooper Rush and Trey Lance, neither of whom I’d trust to win an NFL game this year.
Dallas lost elite defensive coordinator Dan Quinn in the offseason; now the head coach in Washington. Da’Ron Bland set an NFL record with FIVE interceptions returned for touchdowns last year - he won’t do that again. They finished +10 in turnover margin last year -- only 16 giveaways -- again, difficult numbers to repeat. Perennial defensive POY candidate Micah Parsons has his own contract issues; expecting an extension. CB Trevon Diggs is coming off a torn ACL. Dallas is not primed to be a run stuffing team either; mediocre in that regard last season.
So we’ve got a head coach and a QB who both could be gone next year; playing on a team with severe salary cap restrictions that has overachieved in each of the last two seasons. Then we look at the schedule and it gets even worse. NFC East teams play the AFC North and NFC South. Their three extra games are all tough: Detroit, San Francisco and Houston. Dallas has only one home game between Baltimore on September 22nd and Philly on November 10th.
My numbers show that last year -- using my power rating for their opponent the week the game was played -- the Cowboys played a shockingly weak schedule, second weakest of any playoff team. Don’t expect that to be the case in 2024; a year where Dallas is primed to decline from recent seasons. And it’s surely worth noting that teams lined at 9.5 wins or higher since the NFL Schedule was increased to 17 games have gone 22-14 to the Under. Teams with nine home games - like the Cowboys -- lined at ten wins or higher? 9-3-1 to the UNDER with a 17-game schedule; an emerging trend worth riding here! Take the Cowboys UNDER.
THE PLAY: Total Under 43.0 (-110)
2% Take Cincinnati - New England UNDER (#463-464)
The Bengals offense hasn’t clicked on all cylinders in Week 1 even once during the Zac Taylor era. Cinci has been held to 24 points or less in regulation in each of their five Week 1’s under Taylor, averaging less than 17 points per game. I’m not expecting 2024 to be dramatically different for a team that has consistently been underprepared on offense for their opener against a defensive minded foe like New England in the first game of the Jarod Mayo era.
The Patriots, on paper, have the single worst offense in the NFL. We could see Drake Maye making his NFL debut on the road vs a good defense, which equates to a very conservative gameplan. We could see Jacoby Brissett behind a weak offensive line throwing to a weak receiving corps. Either way, I’m not expecting touchdowns in bunches. Early reports from mini-camp have detailed all kinds of issues for this limited attack; issues that are not likely to be solved on opening day.
There’s only one reason to make this bet now and lock up your money all summer with this wager -- getting the ‘best of the number’. With 43’s still available and 42.5’s still widely available, let’s lock in now for a game likely to close at 42 or lower. Take the UNDER.
Line Parameter: 2% at 42.5 or higher, 1.5% at 42 or lower
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Consultant Bio
Ted Sevransky better known as Teddy Covers moved to Las Vegas to bet on sports full-time back in 1998 and he's been doing it successfully ever since. During that time, Teddy has been featured prominently in the mainstream press. Print highlights include the New York Times, Wall Street Journal, Washington Post, Boston Globe, Las Vegas Review Journal and Playboy magazine. Television highlights include CBS This Morning, CNBC, PBS and Bloomberg TV. Teddy starred in the recent sports betting documentary Life on the Line and has been featured in an ESPN 30-for-30 and on Showtime's 'Action' miniseries.
Teddy is a 1992 University of Michigan graduate. His handicapping approach is fine tuned for the modern betting marketplace in 2023; a market that is dominated by stat-based quants - the sharp money. In one sentence, Teddy looks to identify and identify and isolate 'morphing' teams -- teams that are currently playing at a different level or pace (better or worse; faster or slower) than their long term statistical profile would indicate. Those become teams to bet on, bet against, bet over and bet under, until the quants catch up with current realities and value them correctly.
This Ride the hot & fade the cold approach has allowed Teddy to provide for himself and his family with steady income from his sports betting winnings, over more than two decades. And those two decades of experience grinding it out in Vegas allows Teddy to avoid some of the traps and pitfalls that befall many cappers. Teddy is one bettor who can handle the highs and lows of this sometimes zany and always exciting business with consistent, calm professionalism.
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