Teddy Covers
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HOT NOW: 5-0 (100%) College Hoops Run L8 Days
NCAA March Madness: 36-17 (68%) +50.7 Units 2024-2025
NBA: #1 at Wagertalk since 2022! 490-403 +177 Units
NBA 5% Big Tickets: 4-0 (100%) YTD, 39-18 (68%) Since 2021
NBA Totals: 67% Since January, 61% Since 2022
MLB: 14-5-1 (74%) L20 Releases Since September, 2025
Last updated Mar 2, 11:59 PM EST
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Free Picks
THE PLAY: Total Over 242.5 (-110)
Take LA Lakers – New Orleans OVER (#547-548)
The Lakers just hung 129 on the Warriors and 128 on the Kings in their last two games; playing with pace despite enjoying double digit leads throughout that pair of blowout victories. LA continues to be mediocre at best on the defensive end of the court. New Orleans just got a big boost to their offensive capabilities with the long awaited return of Dejounte Murray to the lineup as their starting point guard. In his last two outings, the Pelicans cashed Over bets with room to spare; as a team they’ve scored scored 110+ in ten straight games without playing lockdown defense in any of them. The last meeting between these two teams on this floor (in January) produced 254 points. No surprise here if tonight’s game approaches or exceeds that number. Take the OVER.
THE PLAY: Total Under 223.0 (-110)
Take Phoenix - Sacramento UNDER (#549-550)
The video below is Tuesday's edition of 'Teddy's Tips', a daily ten minute NBA picks video posted every weekday before 11 AM Pacific Time. I give out four 'free plays' on today's show, including picks for Knicks - Raptors (side) and Lakers - Pelicans (total). For the late game in Sacramento, bettors shouldn't expect much pace, deflating scoring. Even with Devin Booker off the injury report, the Suns have been playing as slow as molasses since Dillon Brooks got hurt, ranked #29 in Pace Ratings since the All Star Break. The Kings offensive production is limited, to put it mildly, held to 104 or less five times in their last eight games. Check out the full video for a more detailed breakdown and best of luck with all your bets on Tuesday! Take the UNDER
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Consultant Bio
Ted Sevransky (better known as Teddy Covers) moved to Las Vegas to bet on sports full-time back in 1998 and he's been doing it successfully ever since. During that time, Teddy has been featured prominently in the mainstream press. Print highlights include the New York Times, Wall Street Journal, Washington Post, Boston Globe, Las Vegas Review Journal and Playboy magazine. Television highlights include CBS This Morning, CNBC, PBS and Bloomberg TV. Teddy starred in the recent sports betting documentary Life on the Line and has been featured in an ESPN 30-for-30 and on Showtime's 'Action' miniseries.
Teddy is a 1992 University of Michigan graduate. His handicapping approach is fine tuned for the modern betting marketplace in 2025; a market that is dominated by stat-based quants - the ‘sharp money’. In one sentence, Teddy looks to identify and identify and isolate 'morphing' teams -- teams that are currently playing at a different level or pace (better or worse; faster or slower) than their long term statistical profile would indicate. Those become teams to bet on, bet against, bet over and bet under, until the quants catch up with current realities and value them correctly.
This ‘Ride the Hot & Fade the Cold’ approach has allowed Teddy to provide for himself and his family with steady income from his sports betting winnings, over nearly three decades. And those decades of experience grinding it out in Vegas enables Teddy to avoid many of the traps and pitfalls that befall ‘cappers. Experience DOES matter in this business. Teddy is one bettor who can handle the highs and lows of this sometimes zany and always exciting business with consistent, calm professionalism.
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