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THE PLAY: Total Under 144.5 (-110)
2% Siena/Indiana Under (6:00 ET): Indiana can be about as streaky as it gets when it comes to three-point shooting. Look no further than the Hoosiers’ last two games. They shot a dismal 4 of 24 (17%) from beyond the arc in a 72-60 loss at Kentucky on 12/13. But then bounced back to go 15 of 46 (33%) in this past Saturday’s 78-58 home win over Chicago State. That final percentage isn’t exactly awe-inspiring, however, attempting 46 threes is quite the volume even by modern College Basketball standards. Considering IU was 14 of 26 from three in the first half of that game, you can understand why they continued to shoot from distance.
But here, they are matched up with a Siena team that can defend the three. Out of the MAAC, the Saints are #26 in the country in three-point percentage allowed (29%). No opponent has made more than 10 threes in a game this season against Siena, who just had a seven-game SU win streak snapped last Wednesday at Vermont. They did allow 83 points in that loss as the Catamounts shot 53% overall for the game (despite going only 7 of 24 from three). Vermont is not only one of the better 2-point shooting teams, but also one of the better FT shooting teams in the country and they were 16 of 20 from the charity stripe in that game.
So I am anticipating a less than stellar three-point shooting performance from Indiana tonight. Maybe not as bad as we saw against Kentucky, but certainly worse than the first half of the Chicago State game. Another key component of why I am betting on the Under in this game is that Siena plays slow (they are bottom 15 in the country in possessions per game). The Saints also don’t shoot the ball well, particularly on the road. Indiana is #8 in the country in effective field goal percentage allowed and #5 in 2-point % allowed. 2% Siena/Indiana Under (Play to 142)
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Consultant Bio
After spending the previous decade at Covers Experts, Bryan Power has wasted little time establishing himself here at WagerTalk. A consistent winner since first emerging on the scene back in 2011, Power didn't have a single losing calendar year in his first decade as a pro handicapper! In April & May of this year (2022), he went on an amazing 154-99-2 (+$41,322) with all plays! October is when he truly made his mark at WT, at one point cashing 22 of 26 plays (85%).
Power handicaps football (both NFL and college), basketball (NBA and college), MLB, Soccer (most major European leagues), and the UFC. He uses a personal set of power ratings, combined with situational handicapping, to make his selections. Multiple bets per day across multiple sports are the norm. Client plays are rated 3%-5%.
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