The Gold Sheet

THE PLAY: Nebraska +11.0 (-110)

This could be a nice buy-low spot on the Huskers after Nebraska lost 77-74 against Saint Mary's on Sunday. Everything that could go wrong against the Gaels did, and Big Red still only lost by three points on a neutral court in South Dakota. Saint Mary's shot 47.8-percent from three-point range and Nebraska turned the ball over 15 times. Senior guard Juwan Gary was held to three points in arguably his worst game over the last three seasons. Creighton has certainly looked like a top-15 so far this season, but the Bluejays haven't played anyone with a pulse yet. Two of Creighton's wins have come against teams that are sitting bottom-15 in the country in KenPom's national ratings. Creighton earned a 29-point win over Nebraska in Lincoln last year in another one of those, "everything went wrong" games for the Huskers. Nebraska shot 2-for-22 (9.1-percent) from three-point range in that contest. Pop Isaacs, Ryan Kalkbrenner and Steven Ashworth form one of the best scoring trios in the country, but we'd like to see a little more from the Bluejays' supporting cast before we can lay a double-digit number like this. Sophomore Isaac Traudt did not play over the final two months of last season, so this is his first extended action. Freshman Jackson McAndrew is still figuring out his role in the Bluejays' scheme.

THE PLAY: Total Under 39.5 (-110)

Depending on who you talk to in the Windy City, it sounds like Caleb Williams made a concerned effort to bring the Bears' locker room together over the last week. He allegedly took the blame for the firing of offensive coordinator Shane Waldron, and tried to make amends with some senior leaders in the locker room. That's all fine-and-dandy, but the Bears are going to have a major issue this week against the Vikings' defense. Jacksonville's Mac Jones went 14-for-22 with 111 yards and two interceptions while the Jaguars scored seven points two weeks ago. Minnesota's defense held Tennessee to 33 rushing yards on 19 carries last week. The Vikings' defense is No. 1 in EPA per play allowed, No. 1 in success rate allowed, No. 4 in EPA per pass attempt allowed and No. 1 in EPA per rush attempt allowed. The Bears' passing attack is No. 26 in passing success rate. Since returning from London, Williams has been sacked three times by the Commanders, six times by the Cardinals, nine times by the Patriots and three times by the Packers. Each of the last three meetings in this NFC North matchup have stayed under the total. Each of the Bears' last four games have stayed under the total. Each of the Vikings' last three games have stayed under the total.

THE PLAY: UTSA -16.5 (-110)

How bad was Temple's 18-15 overtime win over Florida Atlantic last week? So bad that BOTH head coaches got fired after the game. Owls' kicker Maddux Trujillo made four field goals, including a pair of 50-yarders, to give Temple its third win of the season. The Owls' regular season win total closed at 2.5, so Temple actually out-performed preseason expectations but that wasn't enough for Stan Drayton to keep his job. Temple's struggles over the last two seasons can mostly be pointed toward a non-existent run game, which has put increased pressure on the Owls' quarterbacks. In last year's meeting, the Owls had a total of 68 rushing yards on 26 carries (2.6 yards per rush) against the RoadRunners' defense. Temple is No. 125 in EPA per rush attempt and No. 131 in rushing success rate this season. UTSA's defense is No. 13 in EPA per rush attempt allowed, so the RoadRunners should be able to turn the Owls into a one-dimensional offense once again.

THE PLAY: Total Over 37.0 (-110)

The big story in this one is the potential weather that we will see on the shores of Lake Erie, which has sent the total down to 37 on Wednesday. Early forecasts are calling for poor conditions Wednesday into Thursday afternoon. It doesn't seem like there will be too much wind and precipitation on Thursday night, and this total may have dropped a little too far. Poor field conditions will slow down a pass rush, and you've got two of the best in this one with Myles Garrett on one side and TJ Watt on the other. Those guys need good field conditions to generate the necessary speed and leverage to rush the quarterbacks. Poor field conditions also hurt defensive backs. Wide receivers know their routes and know where they need to stop. Defensive backs don't. Neither team has been particularly good at running the football this season. Cleveland is No. 29 in EPA per rush attempt and No. 29 in rushing success rate. Pittsburgh is also outside the top-20 in both categories. If neither team is particularly good at running the ball and wind is unlikely to affect the passing attack, we may see a better offensive flow than expected. Four of the Steelers' last five games have gone over the total. Cleveland's offense generated 443 total yards on 6.3 yards per play last week against the Saints, but the Browns were doomed by poor execution on third down.