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Free Picks

Sport

Game Selection

Game Time

FL1

(203373) Montpellier at (203374) Lyon

3:00pm EST - Jan 4/2025

THE PLAY: REGULATION Alexandre Lacazette to score anytime (-120)

Lyon vs Montpellier
Ligue 1, Saturday, 3pm ET

Play: Alexandre Lacazette to score anytime
Odds at Time of Release: -120
Line Parameter: Line good to -140

It's time for one of our favourite bets in the Ligue 1, in the match between Lyon and Montpellier on Saturday, 3pm ET, and it's none other than Alexandre Lacazette to score against this team. Montpellier are Lacazette's favourite team to score against, as he has scored the most goals against them than any other team in his career, with 15 goals (and 8 assists) in 16 matches in all competitions.

Lacazette scored in each of L/4 matches against Montpellier since he re-joined the team after his stint at Arsenal, a total of 7 goals (and 1 assist) in those 4 matches alone. He isn't a regular starter for Lyon, although he did start in 15 of 19 matches for Lyon this season, scoring 8 goals and 2 assists in all competitions, and his 5 league goals mean that he is still the top scorer for Lyon in league matches this season.

Montpellier are sitting dead last with a bad defense that is allowing the most Shots/90 (15.27) and the 3rd most Shots on Target/90 (5.27), while Lacazette is leading Lyon in Shots (24) and Shots on Target (15), while in his L/3 starts he had 4 shots (2 on target), 3 shots (2 on target) and 5 shots (5 on target), so the volume is there.

Montpellier have conceded 38 goals so far (average of 2.53 conceded goals/game) and 19 in 7 away matches (average of 2.71 conceded goals/away game), conceding 2+ goals in 6 of 8 and conceding 3+ goals in 4 of 8 away matches. The only two teams that didn't score at least 2 goals against them are the two teams sitting right above them in the standings, Le Havre and St Etienne, everyone else has scored at least two goals on them, so that's another reason why we like Lacazette here.

Take 2% on Alexandre Lacazette to score anytime (-120), line good to -140

And as a side note, these two teams always go berzerk when they play against one another in recent years, with a 5-0 run to the Both Teams to Score & Over 2.5 Goals and some mouth-watering scorelines in that span (2-1 / 4-1 / 5-4 / 2-1 / 5-2), and an 8-2 to the Both Teams to Score & Over 2.5 Goals in L/10 regardless of venue. Also on a 5-0 run to the Both Teams to Score & Over 2.5 Goals in L/5 H2H in this venue, with some equally impressive scorelines (4-1 / 5-4 / 5-2 / 2-1 / 3-2).

The Same Game Parlay with Both Teams to Score & Over 2.5 Goals at -114 is definitely something to consider in this match, but we will wait a couple of days to get some team news before we decide whether this is going to be added to our Saturday card or not.

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Sport

Pick

Result

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Dec 29

EPL

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EPL

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2% – REGULATION Liverpool win & Over 3.5 Goals (-165)
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Win

Dec 26

EPL

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Dec 23

SOC

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SOC

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SOC

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Dec 22

SOC

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Loss

Consultant Bio

Pavlos betting on European sports when he was in High School, back when most people his age didn't even know how to bet. After acquiring a Bachelor's Degree in International Economic Relationships and development from the Democritus University in Greece, Pavlos took a different path.

Things really took off for him in 2014 when he officially started writing predictions for US-based sites. Things picked up pretty quickly, and he has produced thousands upon thousands of match previous and predictions. He tends to venture off the beaten path, looking for hidden gems in a myriad of games you can bet on.

Single and double bets aside, Pavlos likes to play the odds as well. While some days there are safe single bets, there are other days that provide opportunities for different bets. Bets like Correct Scores, amount of Yellow Cards, Half-Time/Full-Time results, and all kinds of prop bets. Pavlos covers the following leagues: Major League Soccer (MLS), Copa America, EURO Cup, English Premier League, German Bundesliga, Spanish La Liga, Italian Serie A, French Ligue 1, Champions League, and Europa League.

The betting systems he created have seen some massive pay-outs over the years. A couple of correct scores paired together can potentially save your entire season. These are small-stake bets that cost a few units but could bring massive returns on your investment.

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