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NBA + NCAAB: 225-184-6 (55%) for +84.9% Profit L365 Days
NBA + NCAAB: 17-9 (65.4%) for +28.3% Profit on 4 & 5% Plays
NBA: 116-89-5 (56.6%) for +53.7% Profit Last 13 Months
NCAAF: 58-38-4 (60.4%) for +62.4% Profit on 4 & 5% Plays
NCAAF Bowls: 41-22-1 (65.1%) for +57% Profit Last Four Years
Last updated Feb 21, 7:31 AM EST
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THE PLAY: Michigan State +3.0 (-110)
Laying points with Michigan feels like playing with fire right now. The Wolverines have won six-straight games to claim the top spot in the Big Ten entering Friday, but those six wins have come by 4, 3, 4, 3, 2 and 3 points. This is obviously a very big game and Michigan head coach Dusty May should have no issues with finding motivation, but how much do the Wolverines have in the tank after playing six-straight nail-biters? Their game against Indiana was a lot closer than it needed to be after the Wolverines blew an 18-point lead. They needed a double-digit comeback to get past Purdue last week in a game where they trailed for the first 34 minutes. Sunday's clash with Ohio State was a 40-minute grind with neither team holding a lead of more than seven points through out the entire contest. The Wolverines hold the rest advantage and had a couple extra days to prep for this one, but Michigan is 1-8 against the spread in its last nine games and the lone cover was decided on the last shot of the game. There is a new regime in Ann Arbor, but Michigan State did sweep this series last year with a pair of double-digit wins. The under is 6-1 in the Spartans' last seven games as Coach Izzo's defense is beginning to hit its stride. We mentioned that Michigan holds the rest advantage in this matchup, but Michigan State is the much deeper team. Per KenPom, the Spartans are No. 14 in the country in bench usage this season while Michigan is outside the top-200. In the Wolverines' win over Ohio State, four players saw at least 30 minutes. In the Spartans' win over Purdue on Tuesday, no one played 30 minutes. Michigan State's defense leads the Big Ten in efficiency, effective field goal shooting allowed and three-point shooting allowed. We'll take the veteran team with the deeper bench and better defense getting points in this Big Ten battle.
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Consultant Bio
Founded in 1957, GoldSheet is the country's longest-running sports betting newsletter. In May 2019, WagerTalk Media announced its intent to acquire GoldSheet in a deal to bring the iconic publication into the digital age. Bettors and oddsmakers have respected GoldSheet's LTS Plays (Late Telephone Service) for decades, and the GoldSheet team has brought that winning strategy to WagerTalk over the last four years:
2021 College Football Season: +85.5% Profit behind a 45-21-3 Record (No. 1 at WagerTalk)
2021-22 NFL Season: +10.3% Profit behind a 33-28-1 Record
2021-22 College Basketball Season: +33.1% Profit behind a 53.6% Win Rate
2021-22 NBA Season: +52% Profit behind a 54.7% Win Rate
2022-23 NFL Season: +55.9% Profit behind a 49-28-3 Record (No. 1 at WagerTalk)
To help you prepare for the 2024-25 college football season, the GoldSheet team has collaborated with Ralph Michaels on a 60-page preseason guide. Check out some of our team previews:
1) Georgia
2) Ohio State
3) Oregon
4) Alabama
5) Texas
6) Penn State
7) Michigan
8) Ole Miss
9) Notre Dame
10) LSU
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