Oskeim Sports

THE PLAY: Total Under 219.5 (-112)

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Oklahoma City quickly erased a 15-0 deficit only minutes into the game to defeat San Antonio 123-108 in Game 3 Friday night, taking a 2-1 lead in the Western Conference finals. San Antonio’s opening run was the longest to start a conference finals game since play-by-play tracking began in 1997. The Thunder’s bench was the storyline Friday night, outscoring San Antonio’s bench 76-23. The Spurs’ upset loss in Game 3 is significant because NBA playoff home favorites coming off a loss are 352-276-8 ATS (56.1%), while .720 or greater home favorites entering off an upset loss as favorites are 317-254-10 to the Under (55.5%). Moreover, NBA playoff underdogs of +4 or less (or favorites) coming off a home loss are 219-169-9 to the Under (56.3%), including 102-77-2 UNDER (57%) since 2016, going under by an average margin of 2.3 points per game. Let’s also note that NBA playoff underdogs coming off back-to-back wins, like Oklahoma City, are 244-199-8 to the Under (55.1%). Finally, both teams have been going over the total like clockwork. Specifically, San Antonio has gone over in eight consecutive games, while the Thunder have gone over in six straight. Those results are significant because NBA playoff teams coming off five or more consecutive overs are 52-33-2 to the Under (61.2%), including 25-11-1 UNDER (69.4%) since 2016, going under by an average margin of 6.0 points per game. Take the Under as Jeff Keim’s Free Pick Winner for Sunday, May 24.

PROVEN PERFORMANCE
-> Red-Hot 25-9 (74%) Run | +43 Units
-> #1 Overall (Units/WP/ROI) '26: 153-104 | +93 Units
-> #1 Basketball (Units/WP/ROI) '25-26: 110-76 | +87 Units
-> #1 NBA (WP/ROI) '25-26: 50-32 (61%) | +54 Units
-> Epic 114-70 (62%) MLB Run | 4 #1 Titles
-> #1 NHL (WP/ROI) '25-26: 28-15 (65.1%)

THE PLAY: Total Under 214.0 (-110)

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Just 48 hours after erasing a stunning 22-point fourth-quarter deficit in Game 1, New York Knicks forward Josh Hart scored a playoff career-high 26 points in New York’s 109-93 victory over the Cleveland Cavaliers in Game 2 of the Eastern Conference Finals Thursday night. Cleveland returns home after playing three consecutive road affairs, which is significant because NBA home favorites entering off three straight road games are 319-260-20 to the Under (55.1%) versus opponents arriving off a SU and ATS win, including 142-102-7 UNDER (58.2%) since the beginning of the 2020-21 season. Game 2 finished under the posted total, and NBA playoff underdogs coming off a win that went under total are 243-193-4 to the Under (55.7%), including 113-85-1 UNDER (57.1%) since 2015, going under by an average margin of 3.0 points per game. Let’s also note that NBA playoff underdogs entering off back-to-back wins, like New York, are 244-199-8 to the Under (55.1%) since 2006, while home favorites coming off a postseason loss are 243-202-7 to the Under (55%). Finally, NBA playoff teams coming off a game in the Eastern time zone are 632-490-27 to the Under (56.3%), provided they didn’t lose that game by more than seven points, including 236-177-4 UNDER (57.1%) since 2018. Take the Under as Jeff Keim’s Free Pick Winner for Saturday, May 23.

PROVEN PERFORMANCE
-> Red-Hot 25-9 (74%) Run | +43 Units
-> #1 Overall (Units/WP/ROI) '26: 153-104 | +93 Units
-> #1 Basketball (Units/WP/ROI) '25-26: 110-76 | +87 Units
-> #1 NBA (WP/ROI) '25-26: 50-32 (61%) | +54 Units
-> Epic 114-70 (62%) MLB Run | 4 #1 Titles
-> #1 NHL (WP/ROI) '25-26: 28-15 (65.1%)