Free Sports Predictions FEB 24: NFL, NBA, NHL, All Sports

Off last night's high-scoring game at Minnesota, I'm expecting tonight's rematch at OKC to prove lower-scoring. The last time that the T-Wolves played two games in two days was also for a game against the Thunder. They allowed just 101 points. That 116-101 final also marked the last time that OKC played two games in two days. While last night's score would suggest otherwise, these are two of the better defenses in the NBA. Prior to last night, each of the previous four meetings between these teams had finished with 218 or fewer combined points. Don't be surprised when this one does the same. 

Ben Burns is WagerTalk's #1 Basketball Handicapper this season AND for All-Time

Released/revised 40 minute(s) ago

orto vs Guimaraes
Portugal, Monday, 3:15pm ET

Play: Porto win & Under 4.5 Goals
Odds at Time of Release: -120
Line Parameter: Line good to -130

This will be Porto’s first home match after the death of their historic president Pinto da Costa, who was Porto’s president from 1982 to 2024, with Porto winning 69 major titles in those 42 years. In situations like this, the sentimental aspect supersedes any form, fatigue, historical data and whatnot. 

Although it must be said that Porto played in Italy on Thursday (and were eliminated), so there’s fatigue, travel and maybe some psychological issues.

But on the other hand, Porto beat Guimaraes by 3-0 on the road in the reverse fixture, they have an all-time record of W62 D11 L9 against Guimaraes, beating them in 13 of L/14 matches as hosts. 

Moreover, Porto have now dropped to the 4th spot of the Portuguese league, which is really uncharacteristic of them considering the fact that they almost always finish in the top 2 spots, maybe 3rd, but almost never 4th. Right now they have 46 points, 1 point behind Braga (whom they will look to overtake in the standings), and also 7 points behind Benfica and Sporting. They are out of the Cup, out of the League Cup, out of the Europa League, so the league is all they got till the end of the season. 

It’s all about Porto here, there are reasons to fade them and reasons to back them, so proceed with caution. Their coach has a very defensive profile, and Guimaraes can play mean defense at times. 

Which brings me to my final point, odds and what do we bet here? Draftkings have ready-made Same Game Parlays and the one with Porto to win & Under 3.5 Goals is at -105. However, they always cheat with their odds, because if you make your own Same Game Parlay by picking the exact same things (Porto win & Under 3.5 Goals) the odds shoot up to +110. And since they cheat so much with the odds, that gives us the opportunity to take Porto to win & Under 4.5 Goals at -120. I hope this logic will help you improve your betting strategy. 

Take 1% a Same Game Parlay with Porto to win & Under 4.5 Goals (-120 at DraftKings), line good to -130

Released/revised 47 minute(s) ago

Released/revised 46 minute(s) ago

Argentinos Jrs vs Independiente Rivadavia
Argentina, Monday, 5pm ET

Play: Argentinos Jrs -0.75
Odds at Time of Release: -105
Line Parameter: Line good to -125

Argentinos Jrs are one the of the teams playing the best soccer in the start of the league in Argentina so far, currently sitting 2nd in Group A with 14 points (W4 D2 L0), scoring 7 goals and conceding just 3, which is the best defense in the Group. Really good at home (W2 D1 L0), and that sole draw was a 1-1 against Huracan in a match where Argentinos Jrs had 18 shots (4 on target) with 1.45 xG, as opposed to 7 shots (2 on target) and 0.54 xG by Huracan. 

Independiente Rivadavia are sitting 10th with 8 points (W2 D2 L2), scoring 7 goals and conceding 8. They are W2 L1 on the road, losing logically to Boca Juniors, beating Belgrano by 3-0 (Belgrano have the 2nd worst defense in the league with 13 conceded goals, Argentinos have conceded just 3), and they also beat Newells Old Boys by a slim 1-0 in a match where Newells missed a Penalty Kick and had more ball possession (68% to 32%), more shots (18 to 12), and twice as many xG (2.02 to 1.03). 

Now up against one of the serious teams, Independiente Rivadavia are in for a rough night against one of the best defenses in the league, who are also very strong at home. 

Take 2% on Argentinos Jrs -0.75 (-105), line good to -125

Released/revised 1 hour(s) ago

Barracas Central vs Newells Old Boys
Argentina, Monday, 3pm ET

Play: Newells Old Boys PK
Odds at Time of Release: -110
Line Parameter: Line good to -125

Newells Old Boys with a terrible start in the Argentine league and their recent loss prompted the sacking of their coach, which means that their game now falls under the category of the “new manager bounce”. This is a common thing in Argentina, where teams are essentially revolving doors for coaches who can’t get the job done, and in situations like this, struggling teams who change their coach get a huge psychological boost and tend to be much better for the first few matches. 

Barracas Central haven’t been anything special so far in the season (W2 D3 L1), with just 1 home win and even though they look like they’re playing good soccer on the surface, underlying stats say that they allow an alarming amount of shots and they are lucky to have grabbed 9 points from the first 6 matches. 

We like teams under the new manager bounce and Newells’ results were not indicative of what this team is capable of. Looking at the away side here. 

Take 2% on Newells Old Boys PK (-110), line good to -125

Released/revised 1 hour(s) ago

Farul Constanta vs Rapid Bucuresti
Romania, Monday, 1pm ET

Play: Farul Constanta +0.25
Odds at Time of Release: -105
Line Parameter: Line good to -120

Farul Constanta are coming off back to back wins and have a decent W3 D1 L2 record in 2025, with both those losses coming on the road. In fact, those were their only losses in L/12 matches in all competitions (W4 D6 L2). Quite hard to beat them at home as of late, unbeaten in L/4 and losing just 2 of L/11 at home (W6 D3 L2).

Rapid Bucuresti are in good shape right now, losing just 1 of 6 matches in 2025 (W4 D1 L1), but all 4 wins came at home, with a draw and a win on the road in that span. They don’t win often on the road with a W2 D7 L4 record this season, and win-less in L/7 league matches away from home (W0 D4 L3). 

Farul Constanta have a +0.28 xG difference/game at home, while Rapid Bucuresti have a -0.03 xG difference/game on the road. 

Since 2021 when both teams are in the top-tier league of Romania, Farul Constanta have gone unbeaten in 5 home matches against Rapid Bucuresti (W4 D1 L0), outscoring their opponents by 14-4. 

The odds are weirdly placed in this match, with Farul Constanta being +220 underdogs at home, the Draw at +220 and Rapid Bucuresti +115 favourites on the road, with the Asian Spread set at 0.25. 

Seasonal stats, underlying numbers and history all suggest that Farul Constanta have very good chances of not losing this one. 

Take 2% on Farul Constanta +0.25 (-105), line good to -125. This is a split line between Farul Constanta +0.5 and Farul Constanta PK. 

Released/revised 1 hour(s) ago

Locked in the barking home dog with Texas Tech in the first of an intriguing Big 12 Conference double header on ESPN. This is a top 10 ranked matchup where the spot heavily favors the home squad.

Houston has had a rough travel schedule recently going out west and back home twice in the last two plus weeks. Now hitting the road again on the short turnaround off Saturday's tough battle against Iowa St. Lubbock is a tough place to play and this is the Cougars second top 10 ranked team in as many days. 

The Red Raiders major schedule spot advantage looks even better after staying home off Saturday's 20+ point easy win. Texas Tech has been dominate in Lubbock, winning 6 straight at home. Monday makes seven- Bet Texas Tech. 

Yesterday's Free Pick Recap: 2-0 (+2 units) 
Indiana (+3.5) WINNER
UCLA (-6.5) WINNER

💰 $$ BIG MONDAY ESPN OFF 5% WIN (10-3) below…. 

Released/revised 1 hour(s) ago

Released/revised 2 hour(s) ago

We will play the first period PL here with the Jets even though we have to lay 120. We will maybe do this twice a year laying juice on a 1ST period PL but we think tonight it is worth it. We have a Jets club who have an extra days rest over SJ and they have owned this Sharks club of late. They have won 5 of the last 6 between the clubs and the two games this year the Jets have won the first period in both games. So lets get the job done with the Winnipeg Jets on the first period PL as your free play for today in the NHL.

Released/revised 2 hour(s) ago

Sevilla vs Mallorca
La Liga, Monday, 3pm ET

Play: Red Card Awarded
Odds at Time of Release: +330
Line Parameter: Line good to +275

Mallorca have the most Red Cards in the La Liga this season with 6 in 24 matches (or 1 Red Card every 4 matches), and Sevilla have the 2nd most Red Cards with 5 in 24 (or 1 Red Card every 5 matches). 

Referee Alejandro Muniz Ruiz has awarded the most Red Cards this season both as flat numbers (6 in 12) and as averages (averaging 1 Red Card every 2 matches). He also awarded 2 Red Cards in 3 Copa del Rey matches, which makes him the referee with the most Red Cards in all of Spain. And now he officiates a match between the two teams that have been issued the most Red Cards. 

Last season he awarded 5 Red Cards in 18 La Liga matches, and the season before that he awarded 8 Red Cards in 18 matches, the season before that he awarded 6 Red Cards in 19 matches.

His lifetime stats are pretty solid regarding Red Cards, with 73 Red Cards in 201 matches in all competitions, and 25 Red Cards in 67 La Liga matches. 

The reverse fixture between these two was a goal-less draw in Mallorca, where Sevilla got a Red Card, which was the 3rd Red Card in L/10 H2H. 

The Red Card Awarded is at a whopping +330 and it’s worth investing 1u on.

Take 1% on Red Card Awarded (+330), line good to +275

Released/revised 2 hour(s) ago

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Released/revised 11 hour(s) ago