Teddy Covers
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Last updated Jan 11, 10:32 AM EST
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THE PLAY: Total Over 50.0 (-110)
Take Tampa Bay – Washington OVER (#383-384)
Both the Commanders and the Buccaneers have been Over teams all year; Tampa 12-5 to the Over in their 17 regular season games while Washington went 11-6 to the Over. While we don’t support many rookie QB’s in their playoff debut, Jayden Daniels was certainly battle tested in college, and we’ve seen solid rookie QB’s like Brock Purdy (hung 41 on Seattle in his first playoff game) or CJ Stroud (hung 45 on Cleveland in the Texans playoff opener last year) do just fine in games of this magnitude.
Washington’s offense is clicking right now, hanging 30+ three times in their last five games. Offensive coordinator Kliff Kingsbury is likely to be a head coach again next year; the Bucs defense they’ll be facing is still dealing with cluster injuries in their secondary. Tampa’s offense has hung 24+ in seven straight games. They’ve had great balance offensively with Bucky Irving and Rachaad White running the football effectively for the last two months. Bucs OC Liam Coen is likely to be an NFL head coach next year as well.
I don’t trust either team to get stops in this ballgame. Both teams are Top 6 in red zone touchdown percentage on offense and below league average in that regard on defense; a game where we’re likely to see touchdowns, not field goals. We saw 57 points scored in the only regular season matchup between these two teams, and I’m expecting fireworks once again in the rematch on Sunday Night. Take the OVER.
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Consultant Bio
Ted Sevransky better known as Teddy Covers moved to Las Vegas to bet on sports full-time back in 1998 and he's been doing it successfully ever since. During that time, Teddy has been featured prominently in the mainstream press. Print highlights include the New York Times, Wall Street Journal, Washington Post, Boston Globe, Las Vegas Review Journal and Playboy magazine. Television highlights include CBS This Morning, CNBC, PBS and Bloomberg TV. Teddy starred in the recent sports betting documentary Life on the Line and has been featured in an ESPN 30-for-30 and on Showtime's 'Action' miniseries.
Teddy is a 1992 University of Michigan graduate. His handicapping approach is fine tuned for the modern betting marketplace in 2023; a market that is dominated by stat-based quants - the sharp money. In one sentence, Teddy looks to identify and identify and isolate 'morphing' teams -- teams that are currently playing at a different level or pace (better or worse; faster or slower) than their long term statistical profile would indicate. Those become teams to bet on, bet against, bet over and bet under, until the quants catch up with current realities and value them correctly.
This Ride the hot & fade the cold approach has allowed Teddy to provide for himself and his family with steady income from his sports betting winnings, over more than two decades. And those two decades of experience grinding it out in Vegas allows Teddy to avoid some of the traps and pitfalls that befall many cappers. Teddy is one bettor who can handle the highs and lows of this sometimes zany and always exciting business with consistent, calm professionalism.
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