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Teddy Covers

Teddy Covers

Hot Streaks

College Hoops: 35-22 (61%) L57 Plays

5% Big Tickets (All Sports): 90-55 (62%) Since 2021

NFL 5% 32-18, CFB 5% 6-0, CBB 5% 11-5, NBA 5% 29-14!

71% College Football Bowl Run!

5% Big Tickets (All Sports) 11-4 (73%) L15

NBA: 347-268 (56%) +181 Units Since 2022

Last updated Jan 11, 10:32 AM EST

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Sport
Game Selection
Game Time
NFL
(383) Washington Commanders at (384) Tampa Bay Buccaneers
8:00pm EST - Jan 12/2025

THE PLAY: Total Over 50.0 (-110)

Take Tampa Bay – Washington OVER (#383-384)

Both the Commanders and the Buccaneers have been Over teams all year; Tampa 12-5 to the Over in their 17 regular season games while Washington went 11-6 to the Over.  While we don’t support many rookie QB’s in their playoff debut, Jayden Daniels was certainly battle tested in college, and we’ve seen solid rookie QB’s like Brock Purdy (hung 41 on Seattle in his first playoff game) or CJ Stroud (hung 45 on Cleveland in the Texans playoff opener last year) do just fine in games of this magnitude.

Washington’s offense is clicking right now, hanging 30+ three times in their last five games. Offensive coordinator Kliff Kingsbury is likely to be a head coach again next year; the Bucs defense they’ll be facing is still dealing with cluster injuries in their secondary.  Tampa’s offense has hung 24+ in seven straight games. They’ve had great balance offensively with Bucky Irving and Rachaad White running the football effectively for the last two months.  Bucs OC Liam Coen is likely to be an NFL head coach next year as well.

I don’t trust either team to get stops in this ballgame.  Both teams are Top 6 in red zone touchdown percentage on offense and below league average in that regard on defense; a game where we’re likely to see touchdowns, not field goals. We saw 57 points scored in the only regular season matchup between these two teams, and I’m expecting fireworks once again in the rematch on Sunday Night.  Take the OVER.

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Last 20

Date
Sport
Pick
Result
Jan 12
NBA
3% – Indiana Pacers +9.5 (-110)
(Analysis)
pending
Jan 12
NFL
5% – Green Bay Packers +4.5 (-110)
(Analysis)
pending
Jan 11
NFL
4% – Baltimore Ravens -9.5 (-110)
(Analysis)
Win
Jan 11
CBB
3% – Nevada -12.5 (-110)
(Analysis)
Loss
Jan 11
CBB
3% – Loyola Chicago +5.5 (-110)
(Analysis)
Loss
Jan 11
CBB
3% – Georgetown +5.0 (-110)
(Analysis)
Loss
Jan 10
NBA
3% – (503) Milwaukee Bucks at (504) Orlando Magic Total Under 211.0 (-110)
(Analysis)
Loss
Jan 09
CFB
4% – Notre Dame -135
(Analysis)
Win
Jan 09
NBA
3% – Detroit Pistons -2.5 (-110)
(Analysis)
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Jan 08
CBB
3% – Loyola Chicago -125
(Analysis)
Win
Jan 08
NBA
3% – Philadelphia 76ers -10.5 (-110)
(Analysis)
Loss
Jan 08
NBA
2% – San Antonio Spurs +5.0 (-110)
(Analysis)
Loss
Jan 07
CBB
3% – Arizona -3.0 (-115)
(Analysis)
Win
Jan 07
NBA
3% – New Orleans Pelicans +5.5 (-112)
(Analysis)
Loss
Jan 06
NBA
3% – Los Angeles Clippers +2.5 (-110)
(Analysis)
Win
Jan 06
NBA
3% – (513) Portland Trail Blazers at (514) Detroit Pistons Total Over 225.5 (-110)
(Analysis)
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Jan 05
NFL
3% – Arizona Cardinals -3.0 (-110)
(Analysis)
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Jan 05
NFL
3% – 3% Dallas Cowboys UNDER 10 Wins (-110 widely available)
(Analysis)
Win
Jan 05
NFL
3% – 3% Denver Broncos UNDER 5.5 Wins (-120 widely available)
(Analysis)
Loss
Jan 05
NFL
3% – 3% Buffalo Bills UNDER 10.5 Wins (-135 at Draft Kings, BetRivers, Circa and Southpoint, -140/-150 widely available
(Analysis)
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Consultant Bio

Ted Sevransky better known as Teddy Covers moved to Las Vegas to bet on sports full-time back in 1998 and he's been doing it successfully ever since. During that time, Teddy has been featured prominently in the mainstream press. Print highlights include the New York Times, Wall Street Journal, Washington Post, Boston Globe, Las Vegas Review Journal and Playboy magazine. Television highlights include CBS This Morning, CNBC, PBS and Bloomberg TV. Teddy starred in the recent sports betting documentary Life on the Line and has been featured in an ESPN 30-for-30 and on Showtime's 'Action' miniseries. 

Teddy is a 1992 University of Michigan graduate. His handicapping approach is fine tuned for the modern betting marketplace in 2023; a market that is dominated by stat-based quants - the sharp money.  In one sentence, Teddy looks to identify and identify and isolate 'morphing' teams -- teams that are currently playing at a different level or pace (better or worse; faster or slower) than their long term statistical profile would indicate.  Those become teams to bet on, bet against, bet over and bet under, until the quants catch up with current realities and value them correctly.

This Ride the hot & fade the cold approach has allowed Teddy to provide for himself and his family with steady income from his sports betting winnings, over more than two decades.  And those two decades of experience grinding it out in Vegas allows Teddy to avoid some of the traps and pitfalls that befall many cappers.  Teddy is one bettor who can handle the highs and lows of this sometimes zany and always exciting business with consistent, calm professionalism.

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