The Prez

THE PLAY: Total Under 41.5 (-110)

Car +4 vs NO (41.5)

• This division is a mess - these teams suck and honestly, anytime 2 crappy teams plays against each other and you can get more than a FG, take the points.
• With that said, the Under is the play here, as who the hell is going to score.
• I know it was last year, but the Panthers are bringing back almost the same offense that put up 0 points in their last 2 games.
• And now the Panthers have to play against a top 10 D unit. Last year the Saints allowed under 20 points per game and this is the strength of their team. This Panthers team will be hard pressed to get to 13 points.
• Now, the only real issue from a numbers perspective is the Panthers D is just as bad as their O. This was the 4th worst unit last year. BUT 2 things - 1 they have a whole new D look and scheme with new faces and leaders.
• Now with that said, I do not think they are going to be a great unit, but they are playing the Saints on Sunday and this Saints team will run a very conservative offense.
• Carr is prone to making mistakes and I think we see the Saints play slow small ball - they want to hold the ball and move the clock and escape with 20-17 type wins.
• Both teams will be looking to just not make mistakes.
• Car/NO Under 41.5

THE PLAY: Dallas Cowboys +2.5 (-105)

Dallas +2.5 vs Cle (42)

• Okay I don’t really get this line. I know the Browns have a great D (#1 last year in yards allowed), but they did let teams score more than 21 points a game which put them in the middle of the pack. As for their Offense - man Watson might end up crippling this franchise - not only is his contract the worst in history, but he might continue to totally suck.
• Don’t be sleeping on this Dallas team - I know a lot of talking heads do not like them this year, but this is a team that had the 5th best D in the league in allowing points (which from my perspective, is the most important of all D things) and the #1 team in all of football in scoring points.
• So if you look at both sides of this game - Cleveland’s D is worse than Dallas’ and Clevelands offense is like a tootsie roll compared to Dallas’ Toblerone.
• I know these are last year’s numbers, but I dont think Cleveland did much to fix their team, except get Watson back and Dallas didn’t exactly loose everyone of their roster.
• And don’t forget their best offensive weapon Mr Chubb is out for the next 4 weeks.
• Bottom line - Dallas has the best player on the field on D in Micah, the best QB by far, the best WR, the better D unit, the much better O unit and are a veteran team that knows it needs to win out of the gate.
• Maybe the only reason the Boys are a dog here was they went 4-5 on the road last year - but keep in mind they blew the Giants 40-0 Week 1 last season.
• This is a no-brainer pick for me.
• Dallas +2.5 vs Clev