Nick Borrman

THE PLAY: Minnesota United -1.0 (-115)

MLS

(209821) St. Louis City SC at (209822) Minnesota United

Situationally this is all Minnesota who are already qualified for the playoffs, but a win will avoid them the play-in game (though they could still clinch regardless based on Vancouver's result).  Meanwhile STL has been eliminated.

Additionally, Minnesota has been playing great like another team since the Leagues Cup break.  They won their final match before the break, which snapped a nine-match winless run, and after the return of action, they did lose their first match against Seattle.  But since, they have gone 5-1-1 to play their way into the playoffs.

After averaging 1.63 xGA in their first 25 matches this season, they have allowed just 1.11 over their last nine.  I'll ride that momentum to another win on Decision Day.

TAKE MINNESOTA -1.0

Line Parameter: 2% to -130, 1.5% to -140

THE PLAY: Everton +0.25 (-135)

England Premier League

Everton at Ipswich Town

Everton is not a good team by any means, but they always seem to do enough each season to stay up and avoid relegation.  Meanwhile Ipswich is a newly promoted side this year still in search of their first win.  I love getting a head start against a winless team.

Ipswich is creating just 0.70 xG per match while allowing 2.17 and while it was a rough start to the season facing both City and Liverpool, it has since been much easier including facing opponents Fulham, Southampton and West Ham.  However, they still remain in search of their first win.

Everton hasn't been much better, both they have averaged 0.99 xG per 90 minutes while allowing 1.71.  Again, not great, but better than Ipswich in both departments.  I don't think they lose this match.

TAKE EVERTON +0.25

Line Parameter: 3% to -150