Nick Borrman

THE PLAY: Both Teams to Score YES (-175)

UEFA Champions League

I'm comfortable laying up to -200 on this which would need a 67% win rate to simply break even.  Well, how about 100% win rate over the last 10 H2H meetings between these teams including leg one as Real leads 2-1 heading into this make or break match.  

To get the price down, you have to look at adding Over 2.5, but, half (5) of the matches ended under that total at 1-1.  

For as good as both teams have been offensively this season, they haven't been as consistent defensively, especially of late as Real has conceded in nine of their last 11, while Atletico has allowed a whopping eight goals over just their last four matches.  Over the weekend on short rest, both teams conceded to much weaker competition (Getafe twice against Atletico and Vallecano once against Real).  On short rest once again here, we likely see some tired legs on the backline.

TAKE BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE YES 

Line Parameter: 3% to -200, 2.5% to -225

THE PLAY: Sepp Straka Win THE PLAYERS (+5000)

THE PLAYERS Championship

Outright Winner DraftKings

Rinse and repeat here as Straka had yet another great week last week at the Arnold Palmer Invitational, finishing T5, while he also kicked off the Florida Swing in style, finishing T11 at the Cognizant Classic.  That is now seven Top-15 finishes in his last nine starts including a win at The American Express in January.

His iron game is up there with the top players in the world, and although he doesn’t hit it long off the tee, his driver accuracy keeps him gaining strokes Off the Tee.  That accuracy could gain him a few more strokes this week given the extending rough length of 4 inches this week, like we saw last week at Bay Hill.

Finally, Straka does have some decent finishes here recently with two Top-16 finishes in his last three starts at TPC Sawgrass.  I expect his current form will combine nicely with recent strong finishes here.

TAKE SEPP STRAKA +5000