Rob Veno

THE PLAY: New Mexico +250

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Team To Win Mountain West Conference Tournament:

Play Rating: FREE

Play Type: Future Bet

Play: New Mexico +250  

Date/Time: Mar 12, 2025 2:00 PM (Tournament Start Time) 

Line Provider: Draft Kings

MOUNTAIN WEST CONFERENCE – THOMAS & MACK CENTER / LAS VEGAS, NV

Favorite – New Mexico +250 – (Defending Champs – beat San Diego State 68-61 in last year’s title game)

As the #1 seed they have the easiest path – Open with winner of #8 vs #9 game San Jose State & Wyoming

They then play San Diego State- Boise State winner – Lobos split the regular season series with each of those teams

After that it would likely be either #2 Colorado State or #3 Utah State for the Championship and they swept both of those teams this year

Overall they are one of 3 teams that in Mountain West play ranked in side the Top 4 in Offensive Efficiency / Defensive Efficiency / Offensive & Defensive Rebounding% 

Boise State & Colorado State the other 2 / They are the only team that adds TO% & forced TO% to that list

They’re the fastest pace team & the most complete team

Longshot – No Real Longshot Here Is Likely to Win the Tournament

Really wanted to try Boise State at +425 but the path is so difficult for them and San Diego State

First they have to play each other…then in all likeliehood one will play New Mexico & then probably the Colorado State-Utah State winner…that’s a tough 3 night road

#6 UNLV has homecourt but is simply too banged up…they are playing with a ton of heart and effort right now but winning 4 in 4 nights is to much to ask

Injury list just got longer when Julian Rishwain got hurt in their final game AND even if leading scorer PG Dedan Thomas returns he’s missed the L6G

Questionable whether he can immediately & smoothly transition back into the lineup

Teams 8-10 are after thoughts & #7 Nevada has not defeated a team in the Top 4 seedings all season long

Choice To Win – New Mexico at +250

#2 Colorado State doesn’t have a starter over 6’7” but they are physical, defensive oriented & shoot the ball overall better than any team in the tournament 

They have not won the conference tournament since 2003 but at +350 they could get this done since their path consists of basically 2 wins…Utah State and then revenge vs New Mexico

First Round Play To Watch For

Nevada -12 vs Fresno State – Fresno outside of their arena has now lost 4 of their L5G by 25, 23, 24 & 22

Nevada offensive & defensive metrics say they’re better thatn their record and they beat Fresno by 25 last time they played

Figure HC Steve Alford will have them ready